NFL playoffs: Two player props for Saturday’s divisional-round action.
We’ve had a great wild-card weekend on NFL prop straights, and it’s time to continue winning into the divisional round today. Green Bay vs. San Francisco and Houston vs. Baltimore will be played on Saturday. Both sides have defensive weaknesses, and we’ve narrowed it down to our two best looks out of the lot.
.5u: Devin Singletary over 58.5 rushing yards & over 2.5 receptions (+235 ESPN)
I wouldn’t blame you if Devin Singletary’s name puzzled you during a game featuring C.J. Stroud and Lamar Jackson.
The obvious area of interest against this Baltimore defense, as I discovered while going over the vulnerabilities for these games, is running back receptions and rushing yards. The Ravens are allowing the seventh-highest amount of yards per carry in the NFL (4.5), and they are giving up the ninth-most receptions per game (5.06) to running backs (RBs).
That’s when Singletary caught my attention. Now, if I’m going to act on these two target places, wouldn’t it make a lot of sense to pivot to overall receiving and running yards? Though Singletary is surprisingly inconsistent at this 80.5 total yards from scrimmage threshold, that’s what I initially believed.
Instead, I’m pivoting to a simple combo of these props. Singletary has hit this rushing yards mark in five of his last six games, averaging 73.17 rushing yards/game. Four of the past five RBs to see Baltimore have gone for 100+ yards, and Singletary has a 16.5 rush attempts line, he’s going to see work.
As for receptions, Singletary has 3+ catches in four of his last five games. He has not turned that into receiving yardage success, totaling just 12 receiving yards in his last three games. It’s for that reason I’m taking the receptions and letting the rest be.
Nine straight RBs to see the Ravens have recorded 3+ receptions.
Brandon Aiyuk over 65.5 receiving yards (-120 Fanatics)
Green Bay has allowed the eighth-most passes of 20+ yards this season, and just last week, Dak Prescott completed multiple 40+ yard passes that powered 100+ yard games for CeeDee Lamb and Michael Gallup.
With an average of 17.9 yards per reception, an average depth of target of 14.3, and over 21% of his targets coming from 20 yards or more down the field, Brandon Aiyuk is this offense’s obvious deep threat to capitalize.
Books are anticipating Aiyuk to break off a significant gain at home on Saturday night, with a lengthy reception line of 25.5. This season, Aiyuk has caught 13 passes of 20 yards or more. In those 13 games, he has averaged 94.5 yards per game and has crossed this line eight times.
Raise that to a 25-yard or more reception, and in those contests, he is averaging 105.4 yards per game, including 109+ yards in each of the five home games. This one seems like a ladder contender to me.
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